FILE An oil tanker is moored at the Sheskharis complex, part of Chernomortransneft JSC, a subsidiary of Transneft PJSC, in Novorossiysk, Russia, Tuesday, Oct. 11, 2022, one of the largest facilities for oil and petroleum products in southern Russia. The European Union reached a deal Friday for a $60-per-barrel price cap on Russian oil, a key step as Western sanctions aim to reorder the global oil market to prevent price spikes and starve President Vladimir Putin of funding for his war in Ukraine. (AP Photo, File)
Ns News Online Desk: FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — Oil prices rose Monday as the first strong measures to limit Russia’s oil profits over the war in Ukraine took effect, bringing with them uncertainty about how much crude could be lost to the global economy through the new sanctions or Russian retaliation.
International benchmark Brent crude rose 2% to $87.30 per barrel, a day after the OPEC+ alliance of oil producers, including Russia, made no changes to supply plans because the impact of the new restrictions on Russian oil is not yet clear. Starting Monday are a European Union embargo on most Russian oil and a price cap of $60 per barrel on Russian exports to other countries imposed by the Group of Seven democracies and the EU.
The EU ban on Russian oil moving by sea is “by far the biggest step to date to cut off the fossil fuel export revenue that is funding and enabling Russia’s barbaric invasion of Ukraine,” said Lauri Myllyvirta, lead analyst at the Finland-based Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air.“It took a long time to get here — but this arguably is one of the strongest responses to Putin’s war in Ukraine,” tweeted Simone Tagliapietra, an energy policy expert at the Bruegel think tank in Brussels.
Western leaders are walking a fine line between trying to cut Russia’s oil income and preventing an oil shortage that would cause a price spike and worsen the inflation plaguing economies and hurting consumers around the world. But Russia has said it will not sell oil to countries that observe the cap, which could take oil off global markets and raise energy costs, including for gasoline at the pump.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov, asked in a conference call how the oil price cap might affect the war, said, “The economy of the Russian Federation has the necessary potential to fully meet all needs and requirements within the framework of the special military operation, and such measures will not affect this.”
The U.S., EU and allied countries have hit Russia with a slew of sanctions aimed at bank and financial transactions, technology imports and regime-connected individuals. But until now, those sanctions have for the most part not directly gone after the Kremlin’s biggest moneymaker, oil and natural gas.
Even as Western customers shunned Russian oil, the higher prices driven by fears of energy shortages helped offset lost oil sales, and Russian exporters have adjusted by shipping more oil to India, China and Turkey in a major reshuffling of global oil flows. Russia’s economy has shrunk — but not by as much as many expected at the start of the war almost 10 months ago.
One unknown is how much of the oil formerly sold to Europe can be rerouted. Analysts think many, but not all, of those Russian barrels will find new homes, tightening supply and raising prices in coming months.
Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar indicated Monday that the country would keep buying oil from Russia to prioritize its own energy needs. India also so far hasn’t committed to the G-7 price cap.
The cap has a grace period for oil that was loaded before Monday and arrives at its destination before Jan. 19 to minimize disruption on oil markets.
The price ceiling would work by barring insurers or ship owners from helping move Russian oil to non-Western countries unless that oil was priced below the cap. Most of those companies are located in the EU or U.K., bringing them with range of the restrictions.
The idea is to keep Russian oil flowing while reducing the Kremlin’s income, though the immediate hit may be limited because Russian oil already was trading around where the cap was set. The U.S. and Europe decided to lean more toward preventing a price spike than provoking financial distress in Russia, although the cap could be tightened later.
European Commission Vice President Frans Timmermans said Monday that “we agree that we should not disrupt international oil markets. That would not help us either.” That is why the EU decided “the right price” was $60 per barrel.
Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy had called for a cap around $30 per barrel. That would be near Russia’s cost of production, letting Russian oil companies earn enough only to avoid capping wells that can be hard to restart. Russia needs some $60 to $70 per barrel to balance its budget.
One wild card is Russia’s response. If it follows through on a threat not to sell oil to countries observing the cap, that could limit supply and raise prices, benefiting Russia to the extent it can evade the restrictions.
Russia could use methods such as those employed by Iran and Venezuela to dodge sanctions, such as using “dark fleet” tankers with obscure ownership and ship-to-ship transfers of oil to tankers with oil of similar quality to hide its origin. Russia or China could also organize their own insurance. Sanctions experts say that those steps will impose higher costs on Russia.
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{Tôi đã hạnh phúc hơn cả vui khám phá trang web tuyệt vời này. Tôi cần cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn thích thú từng một phần nó và tôi cũng đã đã lưu vào mục ưa thích để xem điều mới trong blog của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật nhẹ nhõm để khám phá một người thực sự hiểu họ là gì thảo luận trên internet. Bạn thực sự hiểu cách đưa một vấn đề ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn cần phải kiểm tra điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này câu chuyện của bạn. Tôi không thể tin bạn không nổi tiếng hơn cho rằng bạn chắc chắn nhất sở hữu món quà.|Rất tốt bài viết. Tôi chắc chắn yêu thích trang web này. Tiếp tục làm tốt!|Thật khó tìm những người có kinh nghiệm về điều này, tuy nhiên, bạn nghe có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn nên là một phần của một cuộc thi dành cho một blog trên web tuyệt vời nhất. Tôi sẽ Rất khuyến nghị trang web này!|Một động lực đáng giá bình luận. Tôi nghĩ rằng bạn nên viết thêm về chủ đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ vấn đề nhưng thường xuyên mọi người không nói về những chủ đề như vậy. Đến phần tiếp theo! Trân trọng.|Xin chào! Tôi chỉ muốn đề nghị rất to cho thông tin tuyệt vời bạn có ngay tại đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi sẽ là trở lại trang web của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Sau khi tôi ban đầu để lại bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và bây giờ bất cứ khi nào có bình luận được thêm vào tôi nhận được bốn email có cùng nội dung. Phải có một phương pháp dễ dàng bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Cảm ơn bạn.|Lần sau Tôi đọc một blog, Tôi hy vọng rằng nó không thất bại nhiều như bài này. Ý tôi là, Tôi biết điều đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc hết, nhưng tôi thực sự nghĩ có lẽ có điều gì đó thú vị để nói về. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt rên rỉ về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi thực sự cảm thấy trang web tuyệt vời này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.
{Tôi đã rất vui để tìm thấy trang web này. Tôi cần cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn thưởng thức từng một phần nó và tôi đã đã đánh dấu trang để xem thông tin mới trên trang web của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật thoải mái để khám phá một cá nhân mà thực sự biết họ là gì đang nói về trên web. Bạn chắc chắn biết cách đưa một rắc rối ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn nữa nên đọc điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này của. Thật ngạc nhiên bạn không nổi tiếng hơn vì bạn chắc chắn có món quà.|Rất hay bài viết. Tôi chắc chắn yêu thích trang web này. Cảm ơn!|Thật khó tìm những người có kinh nghiệm về điều này, tuy nhiên, bạn có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn nên là một phần của một cuộc thi dành cho một blog trên mạng tuyệt vời nhất. Tôi sẽ khuyến nghị blog này!|Một cuộc thảo luận thú vị đáng giá bình luận. Tôi nghĩ rằng bạn nên viết thêm về vấn đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ chủ đề nhưng nói chung mọi người không thảo luận vấn đề những điều này. Đến phần tiếp theo! Chúc mừng.|Xin chào! Tôi chỉ muốn cho bạn một rất cho thông tin tuyệt vời bạn có ở đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi đang trở lại trang web của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Sau khi tôi ban đầu bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp vào hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và từ bây giờ bất cứ khi nào có bình luận được thêm vào tôi nhận được 4 email cùng chính xác một bình luận. Có một phương pháp dễ dàng bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Cảm ơn rất nhiều.|Lần sau nữa Tôi đọc một blog, Hy vọng rằng nó không thất bại nhiều như bài này. Rốt cuộc, Vâng, đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc hết, dù sao thì tôi thực sự nghĩ bạn sẽ có điều gì đó hữu ích để nói. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt phàn nàn về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi thực sự tin rằng trang web tuyệt vời này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.
{Tôi rất vui khám phá trang web này. Tôi muốn cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn thích thú từng một phần nó và tôi đã đã lưu vào mục ưa thích để xem điều mới trên blog của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật thoải mái để khám phá một người mà thực sự hiểu họ là gì đang nói về trên internet. Bạn thực sự biết cách đưa một vấn đề ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn nữa cần xem điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này của. Tôi đã ngạc nhiên rằng bạn không nổi tiếng hơn vì bạn chắc chắn nhất có món quà.|Tốt bài đăng. Tôi chắc chắn đánh giá cao trang web này. Tiếp tục viết!|Thật khó tìm những người có hiểu biết sâu rộng về điều này, tuy nhiên, bạn nghe có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn cần tham gia một cuộc thi dành cho một blog trên web hữu ích nhất. Tôi sẽ Rất khuyến nghị blog này!|Một cuộc thảo luận thú vị đáng giá bình luận. Tôi tin rằng bạn nên xuất bản thêm về chủ đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ vấn đề nhưng thường xuyên mọi người không nói về những chủ đề như vậy. Đến phần tiếp theo! Trân trọng.|Xin chào! Tôi chỉ muốn đề nghị rất to cho thông tin tuyệt vời bạn có ngay tại đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi sẽ là quay lại blog của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Sau khi tôi ban đầu bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và từ bây giờ mỗi lần được thêm vào tôi nhận được bốn email cùng chính xác một bình luận. Phải có một phương tiện bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Cảm kích.|Lần sau Tôi đọc một blog, Hy vọng rằng nó không thất bại nhiều như bài này. Rốt cuộc, Vâng, đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc hết, dù sao thì tôi thực sự nghĩ bạn sẽ có điều gì đó hữu ích để nói về. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt rên rỉ về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi thành thật cảm thấy trang web tuyệt vời này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.
{Tôi đã hạnh phúc hơn cả vui để tìm thấy trang này. Tôi muốn cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn yêu thích từng một chút nó và tôi đã lưu làm mục ưa thích để xem thông tin mới trên trang web của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật nhẹ nhõm để khám phá một người mà thực sự biết họ là gì thảo luận trên mạng. Bạn chắc chắn hiểu cách đưa một vấn đề ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn phải xem điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này của. Tôi không thể tin bạn không nổi tiếng hơn cho rằng bạn chắc chắn sở hữu món quà.|Tốt bài viết trên blog. Tôi chắc chắn yêu thích trang web này. Tiếp tục làm tốt!|Thật khó tìm những người hiểu biết cho điều này, tuy nhiên, bạn có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn nên tham gia một cuộc thi dành cho một trang web trực tuyến hữu ích nhất. Tôi sẽ khuyến nghị blog này!|Một cuộc thảo luận thú vị đáng giá bình luận. Tôi nghĩ rằng bạn cần xuất bản thêm về chủ đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ vấn đề nhưng nói chung mọi người không nói về những chủ đề như vậy. Đến phần tiếp theo! Chúc mừng.|Xin chào! Tôi chỉ muốn cho bạn một rất to cho thông tin xuất sắc bạn có ở đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi sẽ là quay lại trang web của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Khi tôi ban đầu để lại bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và bây giờ bất cứ khi nào có bình luận được thêm vào tôi nhận được bốn email cùng chính xác một bình luận. Có một cách bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Chúc mừng.|Lần sau Tôi đọc một blog, Tôi hy vọng rằng nó sẽ không thất bại nhiều như bài này. Rốt cuộc, Tôi biết điều đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc hết, nhưng tôi thực sự tin bạn sẽ có điều gì đó thú vị để nói về. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt phàn nàn về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi thực sự tin trang web tuyệt vời này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.
{Tôi rất vui để tìm thấy trang web này. Tôi cần cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn yêu thích từng một phần nó và tôi cũng đã đánh dấu để xem thông tin mới trên trang web của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật nhẹ nhõm để tìm thấy một cá nhân mà thực sự hiểu họ là gì thảo luận trực tuyến. Bạn chắc chắn biết cách đưa một rắc rối ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn nữa phải đọc điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này của. Thật ngạc nhiên bạn không nổi tiếng hơn cho rằng bạn chắc chắn nhất sở hữu món quà.|Tốt bài viết. Tôi chắc chắn yêu thích trang web này. Tiếp tục với nó!|Thật khó đến những người có kinh nghiệm về điều này, tuy nhiên, bạn nghe có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn cần là một phần của một cuộc thi dành cho một blog trên internet tuyệt vời nhất. Tôi sẽ khuyến nghị trang web này!|Một cuộc thảo luận thú vị chắc chắn đáng giá bình luận. Tôi nghĩ rằng bạn nên xuất bản thêm về vấn đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ vấn đề nhưng thường xuyên mọi người không thảo luận vấn đề những điều này. Đến phần tiếp theo! Cảm ơn rất nhiều.|Chào bạn! Tôi chỉ muốn cho bạn một rất cho thông tin tuyệt vời bạn có ngay tại đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi đang trở lại blog của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Sau khi tôi ban đầu bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và từ bây giờ mỗi lần được thêm vào tôi nhận được bốn email cùng chính xác một bình luận. Có lẽ có một cách bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Cảm ơn bạn.|Lần sau nữa Tôi đọc một blog, Hy vọng rằng nó không làm tôi thất vọng nhiều như bài này. Ý tôi là, Tôi biết điều đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc hết, dù sao thì tôi thực sự tin bạn sẽ có điều gì đó thú vị để nói về. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt tiếng rên rỉ về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi hoàn toàn tin trang web này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.
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